Foreclosures on subprime home loans made to
borrowers toward the end of the housing bubble will erase billions
of dollars in value from neighboring properties, according to a
report released yesterday by a nonprofit group. The Center for
Responsible Lending used its findings to call for Congress to enact
stronger protections for borrowers facing foreclosure - such as
giving bankruptcy courts the authority to allow borrowers to
continue making payments - and to take steps to prevent predatory
lending practices.
The center's report estimates about a third of homes nationwide - or
44.5 million homes - will see property values drop by an average
$5,000 two to three years after the foreclosures of loans originated
in 2005 or 2006. It estimates the total loss at $223 billion, with
the greatest impact in neighborhoods with high concentrations of
minority residents, who tended to be steered into subprime loans in
greater numbers. The study ranked Maryland sixth worst in the
nation, with some 1.43 million properties - more than half the
state's total - expected to lose $8 billion in value. California was
ranked No. 1. The estimate for Maryland was much higher than that
issued last month by the Joint Economic Committee of Congress.
The committee estimated the total loss of state property values at
$2.7 billion, of which about $1.1 billion was the ripple effect on
nearby homes. That report forecast subprime foreclosures from the
middle of this year through the end of 2009.
The Center for Responsible Lending's study projects more than
329,000 homes will lose value because of their neighbors' subprime
woes in an area that includes mostly Baltimore City, with some
spillover of properties in Baltimore and Anne Arundel counties. In
the metropolitan area's five surrounding counties, nearly 483,000
homes will lose value, the study said.Maryland homes will lose an
average $5,597 in value, it said, ranging from an average of $9,366
in Prince George's County to an average of just under $1,000 in
Allegany.
"Subprime foreclosures continue to spread throughout the country
like a disease epidemic, and the losses are affecting more and more
families who've lost their homes, and these losses extend to the
neighbors," said Martin Eakes, the center's chief executive officer
during a conference call yesterday. Eakes blamed lenders who pushed
borrowers into subprime loans, generally given to people with weak
credit who then pay higher fees or interest.
Joanna Smith-Ramani, co-chair of the Baltimore Homeownership
Preservation Coalition, said the number of homes the center predicts
will be negatively affected is "frightening." She fears that rising
foreclosures might "paralyze" revitalization efforts in the city.
Jay Brinkman, a financial economist with the Mortgage Bankers
Association, which represents prime and subprime lenders, said he
found flaws in the report. Price declines typically lead to more
foreclosures, not the other way around, he said.
"The idea of associating price declines with foreclosures is not a
valid argument, the way they have done it here," said Jay Brinkman,
a financial economist with bankers association. "The way they
attempted to reach out and apply it over 44 million homes is not
valid."
Richard P. Clinch, director of economic research at the University
of Baltimore's Jacob France Institute, said rising foreclosures and
falling property values both are consequences of the popping of the
housing bubble, not cause and effect. "As the bubble bursts,
property values fall," Clinch said.
Thomas E. Perez, co-chair of the Maryland Homeownership Preservation
Task Force, said he can't comment on the center's figures but agrees
with the premise that the effects of foreclosure reach far beyond
the people losing their homes. "The impacts are so wide-ranging,"
said Perez, the state's secretary of labor, licensing and
regulation. "The ripple's really what we talk about. That is why
it's so critical to get a handle on it." Phillip Robinson,
executive director of Civil Justice Inc., which has a network of
attorneys who help clients with foreclosures, said the study may be
a wake-up call for homeowners who've never had a subprime loan and
expect their homes will always rise in value.
lorraine.mirabella@baltsun.com jamie.smith.hopkins@baltsun.com