September 16, 2026

Opinion: Catastrophizing Is Not an AI Policy

It's imperative that business schools and researchers step in to redirect AI investment toward real-world impact.
Mikhail Pevzner, Ph.D. Professor of Accounting
student using a AI tools on a library computer

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In this article, Professor of Accounting Mikhail Pevzner argues for strategic AI governance over what is becoming more like fear-based policy decisions. Learn why he believes directing AI toward societal challenges beats catastrophizing it.


Steer AI to solve society's biggest challenges

 

Something strange is happening in the debate over artificial intelligence. Parts of the American political right and left are beginning to sound remarkably similar.


Sen. Josh Hawley has warned about AI replacing American workers and has pushed for better federal data on AI-related job losses. Sen. Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon, who agree on very little, recently appeared at the same Washington event calling for stronger limits on AI. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has taken a very different approach, emphasizing rapid AI development and removing regulatory barriers.


The fear about jobs is real. I am very worried about it, especially with three young children at home. I often joke with a fellow professor that our children might eventually live on universal basic income. But, as we say in Russian, every joke is only partly a joke.


My favorite science-fiction series, "The Expanse," presents a bleak version of this future. On Earth, a large portion of the population lives on basic assistance because there simply are not enough jobs. People survive, but meaningful work becomes an elusive privilege. I certainly do not want that kind of society for my children and their descendants.


Public debate over AI has fixated on two extremes: unregulated acceleration on one end, and apocalyptic warnings of mass joblessness or human extinction on the other. But framing the issue this way misses the real policy challenge: how we actually direct and govern this technology. The latter narrative intensified recently when former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher Jacob Coxon resigned, warning that the race toward self-improving AI could prove catastrophic.


However, catastrophizing is not a policy. 

Catastrophizing is not a policy.
Dr. Mikhail Pevzner Professor of Accounting

The more useful question is whether we can influence what AI is used for. If we leave AI investment entirely to private market incentives, companies will understandably pursue the fastest, cheapest returns. Replacing five well-compensated employees with an automated system provides an immediate, measurable shareholder payoff, even while ignoring the broader social cost of worker displacement. Conversely, mapping the human brain, developing better cancer therapies, engineering clean-energy breakthroughs or reducing the cost of space exploration requires longer horizons and less certain payoffs. Yet pursuing these long-term goals yields far greater collective value.


I strongly believe in free markets. They function well within a tolerable degree of chaos. With a technology as disruptive as AI, however, we must ask whether a significant portion of that capital should be channeled toward challenges with massive social returns.


Perhaps we need an organizational model resembling the Manhattan Project for AI. While the historical analogy is imperfect—we are not fighting a world war, nor do we wish to—the organizational lesson is sound: The federal government identified an extraordinarily complex technical challenge and united national labs, universities, scientists and private industry to solve it.


The Genesis Mission, launched by the federal government, is a promising step in this direction by convening national laboratories, universities and private companies to apply AI to major scientific challenges. 


Why not establish several large-scale AI missions organized around urgent societal problems? While the exact list is open for debate, cancer research and neurological mapping are clear candidates. Clean energy, climate technology and space exploration belong on the list as well.


The goal is not for government officials to dictate all AI resource allocation; most development should remain private and decentralized. Rather, the goal is to establish robust incentives so that top-tier talent and computing infrastructure are also deployed toward problems whose societal value dwarfs their immediate commercial return.


Higher education has a vital role to play in this effort. Universities house deep, interdisciplinary expertise across medicine, engineering, computer science, economics, business and public policy. Academics can help identify high-impact problems, evaluate competing methodologies and partner with industry and government to implement solutions.


We also need to become far more practical. A colleague in accounting recently pointed out the limited real-world utility of much academic accounting research. He shared a simple example: Current AI models still make a surprising number of basic errors when reading ordinary scanned invoices and recording accounting entries. Why aren't accounting scholars focusing on solving practical problems like this? Because current tenure and publication incentives don't reward it. We need to realign those incentives.

 

Academia has another equally critical duty: helping de-catastrophize the national conversation.
In cognitive behavioral therapy, catastrophizing occurs when someone takes a legitimate worry and jumps straight to an apocalyptic worst-case scenario, producing anxiety rather than action. Therapists work to break that cognitive trap by grounding patients in reality. Academia should be doing the exact same thing for the public AI debate.


Government, universities and private enterprises have successfully joined forces during past technological revolutions that carried both immense promise and profound disruption. We must do so again. 


Business schools have a unique perspective to contribute. Every public-private AI initiative raises core business questions we study every day at the Merrick School of Business: who funds the work, how incentives are structured and how success is measured. Furthermore, our students will be the managers and accountants deciding whether AI is deployed merely to cut headcount or to empower workers to be more productive.


In economic terms, the challenge is steering society toward a better equilibrium. There is simply too much at stake to settle for either chaos or panic.

About Mikhail Pevzner

Mikhail Pevzner, University of Baltimore Professor of Accounting

Professor of Accounting

Faculty Profile
Dr. Pevzner holds the Ernst & Young Chair in Accounting and brings deep expertise in accounting, auditing, finance, and economics to his work as a business-school professor, higher-education leader and consultant. He provides valuation and economic-damages estimation for corporate litigation, contributes economic analyses to SEC rulemaking, and has published more than forty peer-reviewed articles on financial regulations and accounting research.
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